Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Hartman 45.5% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 50.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 74.5%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Foligno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
44.8% (830)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
47.8% (92)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
37.5% (16)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Foligno shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hartman
Home
48.9% (178)
45.0% (515)
Away
50.6% (176)
44.9% (423)
By Period
Foligno
Hartman
P1
40.4%
46.5%
P2
55.8%
39.9%
P3
51.2%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |