Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 47.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Hartman 48.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 51.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Foligno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Foligno
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
48.1% (520)
+0.6%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
44.7% (47)
+12.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
47.8% (23)
-4.0%
On power play, Foligno has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hartman
Home
49.6% (359)
48.3% (360)
Away
47.2% (345)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Foligno
Hartman
P1
46.7%
48.5%
P2
52.7%
45.2%
P3
46.7%
49.6%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Nov 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:58 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |