Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Hartman 45.3% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 56.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.0%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Foligno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Foligno
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
Foligno
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
1
Foligno
Hartman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
44.8% (936)
+13.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
49.4% (154)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
33.3% (54)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Foligno shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hartman
Home
56.3% (16)
47.4% (568)
Away
56.5% (23)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Foligno
Hartman
P1
50.0%
47.2%
P2
66.7%
43.4%
P3
54.5%
43.8%
Final 5 min
100.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 2 | 09:17 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |