Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Hartman 47.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 77.7%
Defensive zone
Hartman 62.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 65.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Foligno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
47.1% (649)
+6.3%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
47.1% (68)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
45.2% (73)
-4.6%
On even strength, Foligno has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Hartman is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (608).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hartman
Home
57.3% (225)
46.5% (361)
Away
47.1% (210)
47.3% (429)
By Period
Foligno
Hartman
P1
53.0%
45.1%
P2
51.8%
44.4%
P3
52.6%
50.9%
Final 5 min
53.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |