Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 45.8%). Foligno wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.4% vs Hartman 47.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 57.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 51.2%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Foligno
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Foligno
Hartman
Last 5: Foligno 5-0 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (566)
45.8% (190)
+0.5%
Power Play
43.4% (106)
36.4% (11)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (69)
100.0% (2)
-53.6%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Foligno is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Foligno shoots left. Hartman is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Foligno
Hartman
Home
48.9% (364)
51.8% (112)
Away
43.0% (377)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Foligno
Hartman
P1
48.7%
44.2%
P2
46.9%
44.1%
P3
44.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:36 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 00:51 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:20 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |