Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Lewis 44.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 70.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 74.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 58.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Foligno
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
41.8% (251)
+10.2%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
45.5% (11)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.7% (47)
-44.7%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +44.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Lewis is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (207).
Home / Away
Foligno
Lewis
Home
51.2% (41)
39.2% (166)
Away
61.3% (31)
46.2% (143)
By Period
Foligno
Lewis
P1
55.6%
45.2%
P2
48.0%
43.8%
P3
65.0%
37.8%
Final 5 min
81.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |