Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Lewis 47.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 59.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.5%
Neutral zone
Lewis 56.0%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Foligno
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Foligno
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Foligno
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
46.0% (189)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
100.0% (2)
-43.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
42.9% (7)
+0.9%
On power play, Lewis has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Lewis is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
Foligno
Lewis
Home
49.6% (359)
43.3% (90)
Away
47.2% (345)
49.1% (108)
By Period
Foligno
Lewis
P1
46.7%
46.9%
P2
52.7%
46.3%
P3
46.7%
46.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |