Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Lewis 43.2% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 71.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 62.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Foligno
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Foligno
Lewis
Last 9: Foligno 5-4 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
1
Foligno
Lewis
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
3
Foligno
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
43.2% (2,347)
+5.1%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
51.9% (108)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
38.6% (365)
+5.4%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Lewis is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,963).
Home / Away
Foligno
Lewis
Home
49.9% (2,013)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Foligno
Lewis
P1
47.6%
42.8%
P2
50.4%
43.9%
P3
48.3%
41.9%
OT
29.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:52 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 12:16 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |