Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Johnston 44.8% (+12.3%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 54.3%
Neutral zone
Johnston 57.1%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Foligno
Johnston
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
42.5% (318)
+9.5%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
55.6% (9)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
62.5% (8)
-62.5%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johnston
Home
51.2% (41)
40.5% (168)
Away
61.3% (31)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Foligno
Johnston
P1
55.6%
46.9%
P2
48.0%
40.4%
P3
65.0%
41.9%
Final 5 min
81.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%