Scouting Report
Wyatt Johnston holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Johnston 51.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 50.8%
Defensive zone
Johnston 50.6%
Neutral zone
Johnston 55.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Foligno
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Foligno
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Foligno
Johnston
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
52.6% (696)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
52.3% (88)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
42.4% (125)
+1.4%
On power play, Foligno has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Johnston is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Home / Away
Foligno
Johnston
Home
49.6% (359)
52.8% (458)
Away
47.2% (345)
49.4% (451)
By Period
Foligno
Johnston
P1
46.7%
48.9%
P2
52.7%
52.3%
P3
46.7%
51.4%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:38 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |