Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Schenn wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.9% vs Paul 53.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schenn 73.8%
Defensive zone
Schenn 76.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 76.7%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Schenn
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Schenn
Paul
Last 7: Schenn 1-6 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schenn
1
0
Schenn
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Schenn
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Schenn
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (798)
53.8% (753)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.8% (127)
58.9% (90)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.1% (89)
47.4% (78)
-1.3%
On even strength, Paul has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Schenn is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (665).
Schenn shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Schenn
Paul
Home
46.8% (494)
54.2% (450)
Away
46.3% (520)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Schenn
Paul
P1
50.3%
58.2%
P2
47.0%
50.6%
P3
42.2%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:11 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:29 | Offensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Nick Paul |