Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 53.1% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.1% vs Paul 50.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 87.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 81.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Strome
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Strome
Paul
Last 5: Strome 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Paul
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (684)
53.0% (644)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.9% (192)
37.5% (24)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
42.9% (177)
-9.6%
On power play, Strome has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Strome is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Strome shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Strome
Paul
Home
51.3% (448)
52.5% (516)
Away
53.4% (431)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Strome
Paul
P1
51.4%
47.6%
P2
54.6%
48.4%
P3
50.7%
54.5%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
44.0%▼
55.0%
52.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 05:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |