Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Paul 50.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 51.4%
Defensive zone
Rooney 78.8%
Neutral zone
Rooney 65.4%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Rooney
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rooney
Paul
Last 5: Rooney 1-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Rooney
Paul
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
48.8% (666)
-1.8%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
53.8% (65)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
60.0% (55)
-12.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Rooney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Rooney shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Rooney
Paul
Home
45.8% (203)
49.7% (348)
Away
48.6% (210)
50.2% (438)
By Period
Rooney
Paul
P1
47.2%
51.0%
P2
55.0%
47.4%
P3
37.3%
51.5%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Kevin Rooney |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:24 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 06:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |