Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 48.8% vs Paul 50.4% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 70.5%
Defensive zone
Couture 62.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 58.3%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Couture
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Paul
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Couture
Paul
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Couture
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (986)
53.0% (644)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.5% (94)
37.5% (24)
+21.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (195)
42.9% (177)
+1.2%
On power play, Couture has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Couture is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (826).
Couture shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Couture
Paul
Home
47.2% (625)
52.5% (516)
Away
50.2% (650)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Couture
Paul
P1
46.8%
47.6%
P2
49.8%
48.4%
P3
49.8%
54.5%
OT
46.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
48.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Logan Couture |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2021 | 2 | 01:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |