Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Kunin wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 51.1% vs Paul 53.3% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 83.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 56.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Kunin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kunin
Paul
Last 6: Kunin 4-2 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
1
0
Kunin
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Kunin
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
3
1
Kunin
Paul
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (260)
53.2% (327)
-0.5%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
61.4% (57)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (55)
50.0% (32)
-6.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Kunin is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kunin shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
Kunin
Paul
Home
51.7% (151)
54.6% (183)
Away
51.2% (172)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Kunin
Paul
P1
55.1%
56.3%
P2
55.3%
54.8%
P3
43.1%
52.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
51.4%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:04 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:31 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 02:31 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:08 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |