Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Paul 50.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 67.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 51.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 58.9%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 61.0%
61.0%
39.0%
Bjugstad
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bjugstad
Paul
Last 5: Bjugstad 4-1 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
53.0% (644)
+2.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
37.5% (24)
-37.5%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
42.9% (177)
+14.2%
On power play, Paul has a +37.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Bjugstad shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Paul
Home
53.2% (111)
52.5% (516)
Away
56.9% (144)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Bjugstad
Paul
P1
44.6%
47.6%
P2
61.4%
48.4%
P3
61.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:26 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:44 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |