Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Stastny 55.4% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 67.3%
Defensive zone
Paul 75.7%
Neutral zone
Paul 53.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 75.7%
75.7%
24.3%
Paul
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Paul
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Paul
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
59.2% (370)
-6.2%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
40.9% (44)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
51.7% (58)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Paul shoots left. Stastny is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Paul
Stastny
Home
52.5% (516)
57.7% (215)
Away
47.1% (329)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Paul
Stastny
P1
47.6%
57.7%
P2
48.4%
54.2%
P3
54.5%
57.7%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 06:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |