Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Stastny 56.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 65.9%
Defensive zone
Paul 66.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 58.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Paul
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Paul
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Paul
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
57.5% (412)
-3.7%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
60.0% (65)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
44.4% (9)
+3.0%
On even strength, Stastny has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Stastny is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Paul
Stastny
Home
54.2% (450)
58.3% (276)
Away
53.3% (471)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Paul
Stastny
P1
58.2%
63.7%
P2
50.6%
57.3%
P3
52.9%
50.4%
Final 5 min
49.6%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2023 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |