Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.3%). Look for Danault on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Paul wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.6% vs Danault 54.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 73.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 50.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Paul
Danault
Last 8: Paul 1-7 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Paul
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Paul
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
5
Paul
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (318)
56.5% (711)
-2.7%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
46.0% (50)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
51.7% (116)
-1.7%
On power play, Paul has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (297).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
54.6% (183)
57.0% (379)
Away
54.5% (224)
54.0% (498)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
57.0%
55.8%
P2
56.2%
55.3%
P3
51.7%
54.8%
OT
44.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
58.0%▲
54.0%
54.5%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 09:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:49 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:28 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:21 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |