Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.7% vs 54.4%). Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Danault 54.0% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 52.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 57.8%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.9%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Paul
Danault
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Paul
Danault
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
4
1
Paul
Danault
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
55.1% (953)
-1.3%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
64.6% (144)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
42.0% (176)
+5.4%
On power play, Danault has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
54.2% (450)
55.4% (641)
Away
53.3% (471)
53.3% (632)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
58.2%
61.0%
P2
50.6%
52.3%
P3
52.9%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
35.3%
Final 5 min
49.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:03 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:46 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 02:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |