Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Danault 52.1% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 58.8%
Defensive zone
Danault 64.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 64.7%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Paul
Danault
Last 10: Paul 7-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
2
Paul
Danault
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Paul
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
4
0
Paul
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
52.4% (958)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
62.0% (71)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
47.6% (187)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
49.7% (348)
51.2% (605)
Away
50.2% (438)
53.2% (611)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
51.0%
53.1%
P2
47.4%
49.8%
P3
51.5%
54.3%
OT
0.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 08:33 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 12:24 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 16:32 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:12 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:47 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:36 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nick Paul |