Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Danault 51.7% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 78.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 52.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 55.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Paul
Danault
Last 5: Paul 4-1 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
3
0
Paul
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Paul
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
52.6% (895)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
55.7% (97)
+1.6%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
45.5% (165)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (787).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
56.0% (466)
54.0% (581)
Away
52.7% (512)
49.7% (576)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
57.2%
53.7%
P2
54.9%
55.3%
P3
51.5%
46.5%
OT
33.3%
46.2%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |