Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.0% vs Danault 54.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 62.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 55.1%
Neutral zone
Paul 61.2%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Paul
Danault
Last 6: Paul 2-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Paul
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (312)
55.0% (1,008)
-1.5%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
65.7% (99)
-11.9%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (34)
47.6% (229)
-18.2%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
45.8% (153)
53.0% (677)
Away
55.0% (220)
56.0% (659)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
55.9%
50.6%
P2
48.9%
55.8%
P3
50.0%
57.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
51.2%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 11:09 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 06:16 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 00:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |