Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.5%). Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 51.7% vs Danault 52.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Danault 52.5%
Defensive zone
Danault 51.6%
Neutral zone
Danault 52.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Paul
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
10
(21 meetings)
11
10
Paul
Danault
Last 10: Paul 5-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
4
Paul
Danault
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
3
5
Paul
Danault
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (274)
55.1% (720)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.9% (17)
50.0% (20)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (129)
41.3% (167)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Paul is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Paul shoots left. Danault is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (664).
Home / Away
Paul
Danault
Home
52.3% (235)
54.5% (442)
Away
51.9% (185)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Paul
Danault
P1
53.2%
53.8%
P2
53.8%
54.2%
P3
49.3%
49.8%
OT
55.6%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| May 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:52 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 3 | 04:19 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:09 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 18:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2021 | OT | 04:04 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 16:25 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 21, 2021 | OT | 00:50 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 6, 2021 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |