Scouting Report
Rourke Chartier holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Chartier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Chartier 51.9% (-3.9%)
Offensive zone
Paul 54.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 56.3%
Neutral zone
Paul 51.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Paul
Chartier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Chartier
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
59.3% (27)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
50.0% (6)
-2.6%
On even strength, Chartier has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chartier shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Chartier is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Home / Away
Paul
Chartier
Home
54.2% (450)
54.5% (11)
Away
53.3% (471)
59.1% (22)
By Period
Paul
Chartier
P1
58.2%
56.3%
P2
50.6%
55.6%
P3
52.9%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Chartier
60.0%▲
50.5%
57.6%