Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Thompson 43.7% (+7.2%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 60.0%
Defensive zone
Paul 63.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 50.4%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Paul
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
41.9% (597)
+6.9%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
50.5% (95)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
25.0% (12)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Paul
Thompson
Home
49.7% (348)
47.1% (367)
Away
50.2% (438)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Paul
Thompson
P1
51.0%
44.2%
P2
47.4%
41.6%
P3
51.5%
42.9%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.8%