Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Thompson 45.3% (+9.4%)
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Paul
Thompson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
44.9% (642)
+8.3%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
47.9% (94)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
33.3% (33)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Paul
Thompson
Home
54.6% (183)
46.0% (391)
Away
53.6% (233)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Paul
Thompson
P1
56.3%
48.1%
P2
54.8%
44.9%
P3
52.4%
41.2%
OT
44.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
59.0%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%