Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Thompson 44.0% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 62.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 50.1%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Paul
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Paul
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Paul
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
44.6% (709)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
41.5% (53)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
35.1% (97)
+22.9%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Paul
Thompson
Home
56.0% (466)
45.5% (426)
Away
52.7% (512)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Paul
Thompson
P1
57.2%
48.5%
P2
54.9%
43.8%
P3
51.5%
38.1%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:33 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |