Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Blueger 51.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 82.0%
Defensive zone
Blueger 68.4%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Paul
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Paul
Blueger
Last 5: Paul 3-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Blueger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Blueger
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
54.1% (425)
-0.3%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
100.0% (6)
-41.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
43.8% (144)
+3.6%
On power play, Blueger has a +41.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Blueger is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Paul
Blueger
Home
54.2% (450)
52.5% (282)
Away
53.3% (471)
51.5% (293)
By Period
Paul
Blueger
P1
58.2%
49.2%
P2
50.6%
57.2%
P3
52.9%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.6%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |