Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Paul wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Blueger 52.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 79.6%
Defensive zone
Blueger 71.0%
Neutral zone
Blueger 54.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Paul
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Paul
Blueger
Last 6: Paul 4-2 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Blueger
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
1
Paul
Blueger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Blueger
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
54.2% (590)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
71.4% (14)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
48.0% (177)
+10.0%
On power play, Blueger has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Paul shoots left. Blueger is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Paul
Blueger
Home
56.0% (466)
53.2% (378)
Away
52.7% (512)
53.1% (403)
By Period
Paul
Blueger
P1
57.2%
54.3%
P2
54.9%
56.7%
P3
51.5%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |