Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Blueger on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Paul wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Blueger 50.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 72.9%
Defensive zone
Blueger 64.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 52.9%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Paul
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Paul
Blueger
Last 10: Paul 4-6 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
6
2
Paul
Blueger
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
2
7
Paul
Blueger
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
4
2
Paul
Blueger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
52.3% (3,540)
+0.2%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
50.0% (76)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
42.6% (1,100)
+4.1%
On power play, Paul has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Paul shoots left. Blueger is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,198).
Home / Away
Paul
Blueger
Home
52.7% (2,412)
51.4% (2,403)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
48.6% (2,313)
By Period
Paul
Blueger
P1
53.9%
49.2%
P2
51.0%
52.3%
P3
52.0%
48.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Blueger
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 05:31 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:37 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 14:42 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 07:16 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 18:08 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:29 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 26, 2023 | 1 | 18:55 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 19:50 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |