Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Paul wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.3% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 62.6%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 66.7%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 70.2%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Paul
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Paul
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Trocheck
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (327)
57.8% (626)
-4.6%
Power Play
61.4% (57)
63.6% (151)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (32)
44.0% (141)
+6.0%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Paul is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (113).
Paul shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Paul
Trocheck
Home
54.6% (183)
54.4% (390)
Away
53.6% (233)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Paul
Trocheck
P1
56.3%
56.4%
P2
54.8%
58.7%
P3
52.4%
54.8%
OT
44.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
59.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |