Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Paul wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.0% vs Trocheck 58.8% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Paul 66.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 70.6%
Neutral zone
Paul 70.5%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Paul
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Paul
Trocheck
Last 7: Paul 2-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
1
5
Paul
Trocheck
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Paul
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (666)
59.6% (1,032)
-10.8%
Power Play
53.8% (65)
62.1% (253)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (55)
55.4% (249)
+4.6%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Paul is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Paul shoots left. Trocheck is 59.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,143).
Home / Away
Paul
Trocheck
Home
49.7% (348)
61.7% (786)
Away
50.2% (438)
56.8% (748)
By Period
Paul
Trocheck
P1
51.0%
61.7%
P2
47.4%
58.8%
P3
51.5%
57.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |