Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.9% vs Trocheck 58.2% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Trocheck 79.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 60.6%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 72.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
Paul
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Paul
Trocheck
Last 10: Paul 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Trocheck
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
5
3
Paul
Trocheck
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
1
Paul
Trocheck
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (710)
57.6% (1,061)
-4.5%
Power Play
57.3% (199)
65.1% (338)
-7.8%
Penalty Kill
58.0% (69)
49.5% (101)
+8.5%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Paul is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Paul shoots left. Trocheck is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,118).
Home / Away
Paul
Trocheck
Home
56.0% (466)
61.8% (735)
Away
52.7% (512)
55.8% (765)
By Period
Paul
Trocheck
P1
57.2%
57.7%
P2
54.9%
57.9%
P3
51.5%
60.4%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
58.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 12:56 | Defensive | Nick Paul |