Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 24 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 52.2% vs Trocheck 54.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Trocheck leads 32-27 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 51.2%
Defensive zone
Paul 61.5%
Neutral zone
Paul 59.6%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Paul
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
32
(59 meetings)
27
32
Paul
Trocheck
Last 10: Paul 5-5 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
8
16
Paul
Trocheck
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
12
11
Paul
Trocheck
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
7
5
Paul
Trocheck
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,796)
53.7% (10,904)
-1.2%
Power Play
56.5% (480)
60.8% (1,856)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (574)
49.6% (1,461)
-2.9%
On power play, Trocheck has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Paul is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (1,780).
Paul shoots left. Trocheck is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,884).
Home / Away
Paul
Trocheck
Home
52.7% (2,412)
56.3% (7,114)
Away
51.7% (2,439)
52.2% (7,107)
By Period
Paul
Trocheck
P1
53.9%
54.1%
P2
51.0%
54.7%
P3
52.0%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
52.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 00:36 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 05:50 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 16:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:39 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:26 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:47 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2024 | 1 | 16:48 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 07:30 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |