Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.6% vs Schmaltz 40.4% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 80.0%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 56.4%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 65.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Howden
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Howden
Schmaltz
Last 5: Howden 1-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
Howden
Schmaltz
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Schmaltz
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
3
Howden
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (631)
37.6% (237)
+10.7%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
32.5% (40)
+27.5%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (58)
50.0% (4)
-8.6%
On power play, Howden has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Howden is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (249).
Howden shoots left. Schmaltz is 37.3% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Howden
Schmaltz
Home
52.0% (304)
42.6% (129)
Away
45.9% (425)
32.2% (152)
By Period
Howden
Schmaltz
P1
48.7%
38.8%
P2
48.1%
29.4%
P3
49.0%
42.2%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
45.0%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
37.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2018 | 3 | 13:11 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2018 | 1 | 17:26 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brett Howden |