Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 44.0% vs Gregor 41.4% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 63.7%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 57.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 60.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Schmaltz
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schmaltz
Gregor
Last 5: Schmaltz 3-2 Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gregor
0
2
Schmaltz
Gregor
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
42.5% (485)
30.3% (66)
+12.2%
Power Play
45.1% (51)
0.0% (3)
+45.1%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gregor is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gregor
Home
45.0% (258)
30.3% (33)
Away
40.9% (279)
27.8% (36)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gregor
P1
47.0%
11.1%
P2
42.7%
27.3%
P3
38.4%
52.9%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.6%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
29.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Noah Gregor |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Noah Gregor |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |