Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gregor on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Schmaltz wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Gregor 40.3% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.1%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 61.2%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 60.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Schmaltz
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Schmaltz
Gregor
Last 6: Schmaltz 4-2 Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gregor
1
2
Schmaltz
Gregor
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
36.7% (196)
+4.5%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
23.1% (13)
+24.0%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
0.0% (1)
+47.8%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +47.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gregor is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gregor
Home
42.7% (2,089)
35.4% (113)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
36.1% (97)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gregor
P1
41.1%
36.9%
P2
42.9%
28.4%
P3
43.0%
44.4%
OT
42.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
35.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Noah Gregor |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 12:24 | Offensive | Noah Gregor |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 15:13 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |