Scouting Report
Noah Gregor holds a +17.3% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 41.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.8% vs Gregor 51.6% (-17.3%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 57.8%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 50.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Schmaltz
Gregor
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
38.5% (309)
63.6% (22)
-25.1%
Power Play
53.2% (79)
0.0% (1)
+53.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (12)
0.0% (1)
+25.0%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +53.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gregor is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (16).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gregor
Home
38.0% (184)
58.3% (12)
Away
43.5% (216)
58.3% (12)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gregor
P1
40.3%
77.8%
P2
39.9%
44.4%
P3
40.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
41.6%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
58.3%