Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gregor shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Gregor 46.3% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 62.8%
Defensive zone
Gregor 65.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Schmaltz
Gregor
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
1
0
Schmaltz
Gregor
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Gregor
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
29.4% (17)
+8.3%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
33.3% (6)
+7.6%
On even strength, Schmaltz has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gregor shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Gregor is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Gregor
Home
34.7% (49)
23.1% (13)
Away
45.1% (51)
40.0% (10)
By Period
Schmaltz
Gregor
P1
25.9%
20.0%
P2
46.2%
28.6%
P3
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Gregor
48.0%▲
36.0%
30.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2023 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |