Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Acciari 53.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 89.7%
Defensive zone
Acciari 93.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 65.8%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Schmaltz
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Schmaltz
Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Schmaltz
Acciari
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
56.7% (393)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
33.3% (3)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
48.0% (202)
+10.8%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Schmaltz shoots right. Acciari is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Acciari
Home
49.0% (206)
54.5% (279)
Away
49.4% (170)
53.0% (319)
By Period
Schmaltz
Acciari
P1
53.6%
56.9%
P2
46.2%
51.4%
P3
50.4%
53.2%
OT
16.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
39.6%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |