Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Schmaltz wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 42.5% vs Acciari 51.3% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 89.1%
Defensive zone
Acciari 91.2%
Neutral zone
Acciari 68.9%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Schmaltz
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Schmaltz
Acciari
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
7
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
7
Schmaltz
Acciari
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (3,399)
52.8% (3,276)
-11.6%
Power Play
47.1% (649)
48.2% (85)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (134)
47.1% (1,061)
+0.7%
On even strength, Acciari has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Schmaltz is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,167).
Schmaltz shoots right. Acciari is 49.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,186).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Acciari
Home
42.7% (2,089)
52.0% (2,115)
Away
41.9% (2,093)
50.7% (2,307)
By Period
Schmaltz
Acciari
P1
41.1%
52.2%
P2
42.9%
51.5%
P3
43.0%
50.5%
OT
42.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.2%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:42 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 17:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 06:35 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 7, 2020 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |