Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Schmaltz wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Acciari 51.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Schmaltz leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.5%
Defensive zone
Acciari 93.3%
Neutral zone
Acciari 65.0%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Schmaltz
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Schmaltz
Acciari
Last 10: Schmaltz 7-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
5
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
3
Schmaltz
Acciari
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Acciari
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
53.0% (285)
-7.1%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
31.3% (16)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (24)
50.8% (183)
-0.8%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schmaltz shoots right. Acciari is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (107).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Acciari
Home
44.7% (409)
53.2% (267)
Away
47.6% (391)
49.3% (217)
By Period
Schmaltz
Acciari
P1
40.3%
53.1%
P2
47.6%
51.1%
P3
51.0%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 10:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:35 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:30 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |