Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 28.4% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 36.0% vs Zacha 42.0% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.4%
Defensive zone
Zacha 73.5%
Neutral zone
Zacha 71.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Schmaltz
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Schmaltz
Zacha
Last 5: Schmaltz 3-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Schmaltz
Zacha
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Schmaltz
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
2
0
Schmaltz
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
29.6% (253)
40.9% (399)
-11.3%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
39.5% (43)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
26.7% (15)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Schmaltz is 28.4% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Schmaltz shoots right. Zacha is 43.2% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Zacha
Home
33.1% (139)
41.4% (261)
Away
28.6% (133)
38.8% (196)
By Period
Schmaltz
Zacha
P1
28.8%
38.6%
P2
31.7%
44.4%
P3
31.6%
36.9%
Final 5 min
39.3%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
30.9%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 01:35 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 02:02 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:55 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 2 | 01:50 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |