Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Zacha 46.5% (-5.3%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 53.9%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.1%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.3%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Schmaltz
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
45.3% (247)
-7.6%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
58.1% (31)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
22.2% (18)
+44.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Schmaltz is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Schmaltz shoots right. Zacha is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Zacha
Home
34.7% (49)
39.7% (131)
Away
45.1% (51)
49.7% (165)
By Period
Schmaltz
Zacha
P1
25.9%
42.9%
P2
46.2%
46.4%
P3
42.1%
42.3%
OT
46.7%
87.5%
Final 5 min
34.8%
38.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
45.3%