Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +23.7% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 35.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 36.0% vs Johansen 54.3% (-23.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 81.7%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 72.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 81.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Schmaltz
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Schmaltz
Johansen
Last 5: Schmaltz 0-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Schmaltz
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Schmaltz
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Schmaltz
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
29.6% (253)
54.0% (1,251)
-24.4%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
58.9% (158)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
55.6% (63)
-55.6%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schmaltz is 35.4% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Schmaltz shoots right. Johansen is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Johansen
Home
33.1% (139)
56.3% (746)
Away
28.6% (133)
52.8% (726)
By Period
Schmaltz
Johansen
P1
28.8%
54.0%
P2
31.7%
53.8%
P3
31.6%
55.7%
Final 5 min
39.3%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
30.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2016 | 1 | 18:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 14, 2016 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |