Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +19.2% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Johansen 58.2% (-19.2%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 51.1%
Defensive zone
Johansen 69.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 52.9%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Schmaltz
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
59.8% (625)
-22.1%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
58.2% (196)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
51.9% (27)
+14.8%
On even strength, Johansen has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Schmaltz shoots right. Johansen is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Johansen
Home
34.7% (49)
60.3% (436)
Away
45.1% (51)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Schmaltz
Johansen
P1
25.9%
61.3%
P2
46.2%
60.4%
P3
42.1%
56.0%
OT
46.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
34.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%