Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 45.0% vs Noesen 49.5% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 51.2%
Defensive zone
Noesen 50.4%
Neutral zone
Noesen 50.9%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Schmaltz
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
37.7% (53)
49.2% (59)
-11.5%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
50.0% (48)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
0.0% (1)
+66.7%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Schmaltz is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Schmaltz shoots right. Noesen is 36.7% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Noesen
Home
34.7% (49)
46.5% (71)
Away
45.1% (51)
54.1% (37)
By Period
Schmaltz
Noesen
P1
25.9%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
47.1%
P3
42.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
34.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
40.0%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
49.1%