Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 49.4% vs Noesen 49.2% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 60.5%
Defensive zone
Noesen 53.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.1%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Schmaltz
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (268)
48.3% (60)
-0.2%
Power Play
50.5% (91)
38.9% (18)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
71.4% (7)
-12.6%
On penalty kill, Noesen has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Schmaltz is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Schmaltz shoots right. Noesen is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Noesen
Home
49.0% (206)
57.6% (33)
Away
49.4% (170)
42.3% (52)
By Period
Schmaltz
Noesen
P1
53.6%
37.9%
P2
46.2%
50.0%
P3
50.4%
56.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
49.2%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%