Scouting Report
Stefan Noesen holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Schmaltz wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Noesen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schmaltz 46.6% vs Noesen 49.6% (-2.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 64.3%
Defensive zone
Schmaltz 51.5%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 56.6%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Schmaltz
Noesen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schmaltz
Noesen
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (665)
64.3% (14)
-18.4%
Power Play
46.8% (111)
36.8% (19)
+10.0%
On even strength, Noesen has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Noesen shoots right. Schmaltz is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (241).
Schmaltz shoots right. Noesen is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Schmaltz
Noesen
Home
44.7% (409)
42.9% (14)
Away
47.6% (391)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Schmaltz
Noesen
P1
40.3%
35.7%
P2
47.6%
50.0%
P3
51.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%
Noesen
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.5%